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Market Outlook is a recap of the current and future condition of the U.S. stock market.

Indicates short-term U.S. equity market (S&P 500) forecast.

Indicates the strength of the forecast; it's a forecast bias, not a daily market bias.

Indicates long-term U.S. equity market (S&P 500) forecast.

Extended Forecast is a seven week forecast of the U.S. stock market.

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Economy added 211,000 jobs.

Unemployment Rate 4.4 percent.

GDP +1.2 percent.

GDP chart 1987 to 2017.

Weekly Jobless Report.

How to tell where the market is going.

Stock Market Economics

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Jobless claims chart - GDP - Nonfarm Payroll - PPI - CPI - Indices

Market-Barometer.com™, Today's Forecast;  published  8:08a ET., 6/15/17

Stock Market Forecast:  Daily How The Stock Market Will Open

   
Federal Reserve: FOMC

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The central bank of the United States

Conducts monetary policy;  regulates banking institutions;  maintains stability

 
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June 14, 2017 Press conference with the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Janet Yellen.                                        Video Available

 
FOMC raises key rate to 1.25 percent for the target of the Federal funds rate:

Market Reaction- Market Watch

Read the FOMC statement...

 

FOMC meeting concludes with statement

Previous Snippets

The economy has been expanding moderately this year.  Growth in employment has slowed in recent months and the unemployment rate remains elevated.  Household spending appears to be rising at a somewhat slower pace than earlier in the year.  Housing sector remains depressed.  Inflation has declined, mainly reflecting lower prices of crude oil and gasoline but the longer-term inflation expectation has remained stable.

 

The FOMC said it expects to maintain an accommodative stance on monetary policy.  The Committee decided to keep the target for the Federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and expects to keep the Fed funds target accommodative to 201?.  Most likely 2016.

 

Fed releases bank stress test results...

 

SPECIAL REPORT:  MORE ON THE FEDERAL RESERVE FOMC AS THEY CONCLUDE A TWO DAY MEETING ON THE ECONOMY AND MONETARY POLICY

Federal Reserve FOMC: previous snippets on the economy.

...the economy has been expanding moderately...

...unemployment rate remains elevated....

...housing remains depressed...

... Inflation has been subdued...

...economic growth over coming quarters is expected to be modest...

More on the committees monetary policy...

 

 

 

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

 GDP:  Gross Domestic Product   5/29/2017 11:17 am ET- Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the output of goods and services, produced in the United States, increased at an annual rate of 1.2 percent in the First Quarter of 2017, according to estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Read the current Gross Domestic Product release

Stock market Update

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) chart 1987 through current year:

Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Chart; Percent Change from Preceding Year

GDP, Real Gross Domestic Product chart 1987 through current reporting period.

GDP, Real Gross Domestic Product chart percent change from preceding year.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA- agency of the Department of Commerce) produces economic statistics that enable government and business decision-makers, researchers, and the American public to follow and understand the performance of the Nation's economy. They collect source data, conduct research and analysis, develops and implements estimation methodologies, and disseminates statistics to the public…

SPECIAL REPORT: Q-4 2011 GDP increases on Private Inventory Investment and PCE

 

Nonfarm payroll news- picture

Nonfarm payroll: A Quick Look At Jobs And Unemployment

5- 5-2017  9:11 am ET  Unemployment rate was 4.4 percent in April;  211,000 new jobs added to the economy in April.  Read the Nonfarm payroll report...

 

 

PPI 5-14-14  9:21 am ET:  The Producer Price Index (PPI) for finished goods rose 0.6 percent in April, seasonally adjusted, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.  The index for finished goods, less food and energy (core PPI), rose 0.3 percent Read the current full PPI report...

 

CPI  5/15/2014  9:27 am ET- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.3 percent in AprilThe index for all items less food and energy (core CPI) rose 0.2 percent.   Read the Consumer Price Index report...

Personal Income core inflation report

Personal Income and SpendingPersonal income increased 2.6 percent while disposable personal income (DPI) increased, 2.7 percent.   Read the current report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

 

 

 

Weekly Jobless Initial Claims

2-26-2015  8:42 am ET: The advanced figure for seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims (unemployment) was 313,000, an increase of 31,000 from the previous week;  unrevised.  Jobless claims report

Black arrow:  The chart highlights a slowly improving jobs market.  Notice channel is more shallow than 2010 and 2011 channels.

Initial Jobless Claims Chart

Jobless Initial Claims chart shows unemployment weekly new claims trend

   

 

Major market indexes: Market snapshot Dow [DJIA] - S&P 500 - NASDAQ

Stock Market Investing For Dummies, Series.

Investing in the stock market for beginners, a stock market investing for dummies series:

Are you interested in the stock market but know little or nothing about it?

 

Now days, volatility is in.  Stocks can be very volatile at times.  They can be up 1 or 2 percent and then down as much, in minutes.

 

Investing in the stock market for beginners is an article for beginners that can give you a better understanding about Planning and managing, Stocks and Funds, Making money, Goal setting, Buying selling, and Timing and Forecasting.

"Investing in the stock market can be very rewarding- prosperity follows those that are diligent"

 

 

 

Important message about delayed data

Oil prices chart

Inflation reports

 
 
      More Charts    Chart Index    More Economics >
 

 

 

Color coded chart of Market Barometer Forecast depicted on the S&P 500 index of large cap stocks
 
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Last modified: 3/ 8/2017

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