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Back in early November
2008, Barometer models indicated that things were getting better with a
swift rally that looked for real.
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But the financial crises had all the
look and feel of a very deep problem that could last for some time.
Investors and traders believed that which was evident with the up and down plunging markets
with minutes to go in these volatile sessions.
The markets have taken some very
sharp losses--
S&P 500 chart-- and you would think we
could muster a little upside movement.
No doubt that we will see a
rally or two between now and the bottom of this bear market. I guess if you're
in it for the long haul, these are some good prices if you have the wherewithal
to add Dollars at this stage.
The Barometer Leading Indicator (BLI) is supposed to lead
the forecast. But back in early
November 2008, a head fake by marketeers got the BLI off onto a positive stance
that was short-lived.
The equity market got real bullish for a time. The BLI and Bias was
positive, with a forecast turning caution from negative.
With a Santa rally almost guaranteed, investors saw the rally Peter out, so by
December 23, 2008 the BLI and Bias was turned back to neutral.
Well Christmas came and went, New Years came and went, and stocks in the U.S.,
not to mention almost throughout the entire Glob, went belly-up and continue to
drop.
All in all, things did become a little more predictable, in that, nothing was
predictable other than you could predict a sliding stock market with nearly
pinpoint accuracy.
There is some evidence,
Market Barometer channel evidence, that
suggests we may be entering a bottom-building process and that we could see a
real turnaround somewhere down the road.
God forbid that we should get
anymore real bad news. Remember. Forecasts are based on
fundamentals, news can sway markets from side to side, lets hope the
fundamentals eventually take over.
February, 2009
updated
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If you aren't a seasoned
investor, you may not know how to invest in volatile markets. You even
might be new to investing. If so,
you might find this investing article helpful. It's called
Investing in the stock market for beginners, a
101 article.
Also another way to play the
market for some investors is to buy and sell shares directly through
a company stock purchase plan. This bypasses brokerage firms and you
save money. The article is called
Dividend
Reinvestment Plan, or DRIP.
Jobless
claims chart
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