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Market Outlook is a recap of the current and future condition of the U.S. stock market.

Indicates short-term U.S. equity market (S&P 500) forecast.

Indicates the strength of the forecast; it's a forecast bias, not a daily market bias.

Indicates long-term U.S. equity market (S&P 500) forecast.

Extended Forecast is a seven week forecast of the U.S. stock market.


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Economy added 209,000 jobs.

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Investors and traders still nervous over rescue packages and a new administration to deal with


Investors are still concerned and fearful with all the economical data

that filters in, not to mention earnings and warnings; economical crises with banks failing left and right. It's enough worry for investor and traders.

With manufacturing slowing and unemployment rising, investors are quite concerned over the ability of corporations to make a profit and to stay in business.

Stocks are likely to continue to be slammed with each piece of bad news that comes along.  Most everybody seems to feel that this downturn in the stock market is for real and that this time is different.

Different in the way of the credit market being the backbone of market-making, funding business operations, and that it isn't confined to the U.S., but appears to be going global.

 We could be in for a long- long downturn in stocks, or are we at the end, as markets most always turn when everybody thinks the sky, is indeed, falling.

The only thing one can do is be patient, do not panic, but watch for others to get back into the market, or make deals.

Warren Buffett is probably a good indicator along with other prominent marketers. M&A, and IPO activity is also a very good sign that money is able to flow and risk may be minimized.

As for forecasts, forecasting is good for fundamentals of a market, sector, or company. No one can forecast 100 percent, as no one knows what bad or good thing is just waiting to be news worthy.


February, 2009:




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A new forecast center was created, called Stock Market Outlook, for investors and traders to bookmark.  The new page has all three forecast components with charts and links to other areas for additional information.

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