Stock market up, stock market down; volatility is high. Market outlook upper left corner. Get pre market and overnight forecast free... 3:18 P.M. Eastern
Today's Stock Market Performance Stock Market Modeling Analysis- Chalkboard Stock Market Economics WTI oil price Unemployment new claims- chart Short-Term Forecast For U.S. Stock Market Is Caution Long-Term Forecast For U.S. Stock Market Is Caution The economy added 209,000 new jobs Unemployment rate 4.3 percent GDP increased by 3.2 percent
Market Barometer Bias Model-data indicates a slight risk of a correction. The same data also show a better chance of the S&P 500 stalled at or near the July 2017 level, with higher and lower runs. The up and down stalled market could last through 2018 and into 2019. Data shows the S&P 500 could continue higher either in the Second or Third Quarter of 2019, much like it had done from the period of January 2016 to now, July 2017.
The data is based on Traders and Investors habits thus far in 2017. The forecast obviously excludes geopolitics and disasters. The data suggests the market will act similar to that of the period January 2015 through July 2017. The stagnate market could end in 2019 with a S&P 500 rallying 500 to 600 points. The way to track this chance of a correction or a stagnate stock market is to watch the forecast (upper left corner of all displays) and to watch the long term forecast. 5:08 P.M. Eastern
Recent sell off in Asia Pacific stock markets tug at U.S. markets, causing U.S. stocks to fall in pullback form. Traders and investors will watch world markets, especially oil gold, and equities. Wednesday, December 10, 2014, 6:07 P.M. Eastern
Driverless Car Intel and NatGas Note
Thanks for the report; Intel most likely will be a large player in Driverless Vehicles, as well as LNG. The report points out that Driverless cars will, most likely, be powered by Electricity- Electric Cars- as well as LNG- Natural Gas that is liquefied. What most people don't know is that the Electrical Grid- Electrical Power Stations- use Natural Gas to produce electrical power. We already have positions (invested) in Intel Corp (INTC) as well as NatGas (UNG), both are favored, in my opinion, to advance in price in the next 5, 10, 15 years. 8:26 A.M. Eastern; internal note
Stocks Look To Continue Higher Says Forecast
Short term forecast was changed to positive after short pullback but ahead of the Fed FOMC. Earnings/ guidance is in focus as well as the Fed and energy prices.. Tuesday, October 28, 2014, 2:41 P.M. Eastern
Short Term Forecast Change To Caution
Monday afternoon, the Short Term Forecast was downgraded to CAUTION. We are in the month known for volatility and that can send stocks surging and crashing. Caution is indicated by the models. Earnings/ guidance still has focus as does M&A and IPO's. Monday, September 22, 2014, 2:58p P.M. Eastern
Short Term Forecast Continues To Show Positive
Nonfarm jobs number and unemployment-rate could dictate a forecast change. Investors and traders look for any reason to send stocks higher. Russia and Ukraine concerns tempered by talk of military stand-down. Economical data and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the week. Wednesday, September 3, 2014, 8:56 A.M. Eastern- updated 9/5/2014, 8:36a
Short Term Forecast Changed
Short Term Forecast was upgraded to positive. The Short Term Forecast could be upgraded Monday if U.S. stocks continue positive. Short Term Forecast was changed back to caution last week. Earnings/ guidance is in focus as well as Ukraine Russia worry. Bias was changed back to neutral as stocks continue to improve; short term forecast could be next. Thursday, August 21, 2014, 8:33 A.M. Eastern- updated 8/25/2014, 3:20p
U.S. Stock Market Well Overdue For Pullback/ Correction
Stocks come close to looking like a correction but then investors and traders ramp up the market. Bias and short term forecast continues at negative, for now. Earnings/ guidance still in focus for the start as well as oil and gold prices. Monday, August 11, 2014, 8:46 A.M. Eastern
Could See Confirmation Of Direction Change This Week, Volatility Picks Up
The short term forecast was changed to negative Tuesday afternoon. Geopolitical events have markets on edge. Could see more forecast changes if stocks continue lower. Earnings/ guidance is in focus this week as well as energy prices. Thursday, August 7, 2014, 9:04 A.M. Eastern
Asian And European Markets Influence U.S. Stocks
World stock markets turnaround, run higher, on U.S. data and earnings showing economical recovery intact. Futures higher. Yellen testimony on the Hill. Yellen testifies on the Hill. Retail sales data lower than expected but in-line with a growing economy. Bank earnings and merger activity get investors in buying mood. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Tuesday, July 22, 2014, 8:43 A.M. Eastern
Selling Pressure Sets Up Earnings And Data Catalyst
Look for a neutral open Friday. Selling pressure builds with U.S. and world markets. Earnings underway as investors analyze Alcoa and look forward to the mainstream reporting. Second-quarter earnings could be challenging for investors to maintain their steady climb higher. Dow 17k could be in jeopardy. Dow smashes through 17k, can record gain hold. Earnings/ guidance gets underway this week with Alcoa reporting. Earnings could be the catalyst that rocks the market. Friday, July 11, 2014, 9:10 A.M. Eastern- updated 2:18:00 pm Eastern
Big Data Short week
Look for a positive open Thursday. June saw 288,000 new jobs. Unemployment-rate dropped to 6.1 percent. U.S. Markets will be closed Friday for holiday. Employment Situation reported is due Thursday; the jobs report and unemployment rate data can make or break a market. Friday is a holiday with U.S. markets closed. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well as second quarter earnings next week. Thursday, July 3, 2014, 9:12 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:26 Eastern
Stocks Continue Cautious Ahead Of Earnings And More Data
Look for a neutral-to-negative open Friday. Earnings get underway in less than two weeks. Nonfarm payroll on deck for investors to trade on. GDP data falls short of estimates. Stocks could trade flat ahead of GDP. Iraq top markets concerns as investors also await GDP scheduled for release on Wednesday. Earnings/ guidance winding down as markets gear up for second quarter earnings. Friday, June 27, 2014, 9:12 A.M. Eastern
Iraq And The Fed Dominate Markets
Look for a neutral-to-positive open Friday. The Fed reduced bond purchasing but didn't change interest rates. Fed meeting ends with Yellen conference. No monetary change expected. Inflation data and more Iraq news continues to influence markets. Iraq execution headlines, over the weekend, move the pre market lower. New York manufacturing data beats estimates. Earnings/ guidance still has some focus for the start of business. Friday, June 20, 2014, 9:07 A.M. Eastern-
Stocks Could Continue Lower After Record Breaking Run
Stocks could pullback further as record after record has been broken. Retail sales and jobless new claims set the stage for a flat open. Dow and S&P 500 up on multiple record highs over past months. Stocks could timeout for a much needed pullback/ correction. Friday, June 13, 2014, 9:12 A.M. Eastern
More Records Possible As Stocks Inch Up
Look for a neutral-to-negative open for Tuesday. Dow and S&P 500 could continue with record closings while NASDAQ continues to close in on its record. Stocks could take a break and dip before continuing their climb. Earnings/ guidance still has focus for the start of business Tuesday. Tuesday, June 10, 2014, 7:50 A.M. Eastern
Could See A Bit Of Profit Taking Ahead
Look for a neutral-to-negative open Monday. Big run-up on jobs and other data could see investors and traders trim positions. Earnings/ guidance still has some focus for the start. Monday, June 9, 2014, 8:57 A.M. Eastern
Jobs Report Tells The Pace Of Economic Recovery
Look for a neutral-to-positive open Friday. May jobs creation expected north of 200,000. Unemployment could tick up as job seekers increase. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well as economic data. Friday, June 6, 2014, 7:49 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:03 am Eastern
All Quiet On The Market Front
Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday. Jobless initial claims today with May jobs data and unemployment-rate tomorrow. Markets could be somewhat calm ahead of tomorrows data. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well as jobs data. Thursday, June 5, 2014, 7:59 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:02 am Eastern
Jobs Week Takes Off With ADP Report
Look for a neutral-to-negative open Wednesday. ADP today, jobless initial claims tomorrow, and Nonfarm payroll Friday could set a fire under markets, one way or the other. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well. Wednesday, June 4, 2014, 7:57 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Could Get Volatile Ahead Of Jobs Data Later In The Week
Look for a neutral-to-negative open Tuesday. ADP, jobless new claims, and Nonfarm payroll for May is the hot topic for the week- could cause markets to scurry. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start, as well. Tuesday, June 3, 2014, 8:07 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Could Meander This Week Ahead Of Jobs Report
Look for a neutral open Monday. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well as the Nonfarm jobs report this Friday. A big number for May could mean additional monetary change by the Fed. Monday, June 2, 2014, 7:58 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Expected To Continue Higher With Some Bumps
Look for a neutral-to-negative open Friday. Consumer data and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well as this is the last regular session for May. Investor and traders haven't gone away, just yet. Friday, May 30, 2014, 9:11 A.M. Eastern
GDP And Unemployment Data Little Affect On Markets
Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday. Government says GDP decreased by 1 percent in Q1. Jobless claims dropped by 27,000 last week. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Thursday, May 29, 2014, 9:12 A.M. Eastern
Investors Hope For More Gain
Look for a neutral open Wednesday. Investors look for more gain in the equity market as May nears an end. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well as IPO's. Wednesday, May 28, 2014, 8:47 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:28 am Eastern
The Ascent For Stocks Continues
Look for a positive open Tuesday. Another record close probable for index as stocks continue in rally mode. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Tuesday, May 27, 2014, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
Stocks continue record high
Look for a neutral open Friday. Markets will be close Monday for the Memorial Day holiday. Markets will reopen Tuesday, normal schedule. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Friday, May 23, 2014, 8:50 A.M. Eastern
Flat Market Seen For Thursdays
Look for a neutral open Thursday. Weekly jobless claims data and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Thursday, May 22, 2014, 8:30 A.M. Eastern
Fed Minutes Could Give Investors Clue To Next Policy Move
Look for a neutral-to-positive open Wednesday. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well as Fed minutes to be released this afternoon. Minutes from last Fed policy meeting could give markets a clue to next Fed FOMC move, like rate change. Wednesday, May 21, 2014, 8:41 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Could Meander
Look for a neutral open Tuesday. Asia Pacific stocks closed mostly higher. European stocks mixed in early afternoon session. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Tuesday, May 20, 2014, 8:32 A.M. Eastern
Little Holding Stocks Up
Look for a neutral-to-negative open Monday. Still in a five-year upswing for stocks? Stocks could end upswing with little holding up sentiment. Data getting stronger, Fed has an itchy trigger finger with geopolitical concerns, could take stocks down this summer. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Monday, May 19, 2014, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
More Hot Economic News Could See Stocks Slip
Look for a neutral-to-positive open Friday. Much improved economical data showing the economy accelerating could cause more selling of equities. Housing data and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start Friday. Friday, May 16, 2014, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:26 am Eastern
Jobless New Claims And CPI Set Stage For Markets
Look for a neutral-to-negative open Thursday. Hot data suggests economy is ramping up setting stage for possible action by the Fed as data might suggest. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start Thursday. Thursday, May 15, 2014, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Drift Lower After PPI
Look for a neutral-to-negative open for Wednesday. PPI wholesale prices ramp-up, giving investors some concern. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start for Wednesday, May 14, 2014. Wednesday, May 14, 2014, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Try For Another Positive Session After Data
Look for a neutral open Tuesday. Retail Sales and Food Services data set the pre market back slightly. Overseas markets not affected by data. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start Tuesday. Tuesday, May 13, 2014, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Rally, New Leg Higher
Look for a positive open Monday. Stocks, globally, could rise through the traditional 'sell in May and go away' season. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Monday, May 12, 2014, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Set For Flat Session
Look for a neutral-to-negative open Friday. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well as oil prices. Friday, May 9, 2014, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
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